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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Mon Nov 18, 2019 1:27 pm 
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The Hall of Fame ballot always starts the new thread

https://baseballhall.org/discover/2020- ... waa-ballot

BOBBY ABREU
JOSH BECKETT
HEATH BELL
BARRY BONDS
ERIC CHÁVEZ
ROGER CLEMENS
ADAM DUNN
CHONE FIGGINS
RAFAEL FURCAL
JASON GIAMBI
TODD HELTON
RAÚL IBAÑEZ
DEREK JETER
ANDRUW JONES
JEFF KENT
PAUL KONERKO
CLIFF LEE
CARLOS PEÑA
BRAD PENNY
ANDY PETTITTE
J.J. PUTZ
MANNY RAMÍREZ
BRIAN ROBERTS
SCOTT ROLEN
CURT SCHILLING
GARY SHEFFIELD
ALFONSO SORIANO
SAMMY SOSA
JOSÉ VALVERDE
OMAR VIZQUEL
BILLY WAGNER
LARRY WALKER

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Mon Nov 18, 2019 1:37 pm 
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The Last Hippie

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jeter is in.

after that..........

lots of big names with lots of baggage.

it will be interesting

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Mon Nov 18, 2019 1:38 pm 
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Bonds, Clemens and Sosa should never be allowed in. I only wish their stats could be expunged from the record books.

Going in: Jeter and Schilling.

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Mon Nov 18, 2019 1:39 pm 
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jose valverde?????????????????????????????????

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Mon Nov 18, 2019 2:31 pm 
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Of that bunch, I'd probably vote for Jeter (100% First ballot), Schilling, Vizquel and Walker.

And yes, there's a lot of chemistry mixed in with the rest of that list. Like. A lot.

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Mon Nov 18, 2019 2:55 pm 
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Jeter. It’s Larry Walker’s last year on the ballot. What about Jeff Kent? Not a popular guy but his career is among the top of second basemen.

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Mon Nov 18, 2019 2:58 pm 
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Marcus wrote:
Jeter. It’s Larry Walker’s last year on the ballot. What about Jeff Kent? Not a popular guy but his career is among the top of second basemen.


Jeff Kent = Barry Bonds school of medicine. HGH, specifically.

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Mon Nov 18, 2019 3:08 pm 
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Jason Gore wrote:
Marcus wrote:
Jeter. It’s Larry Walker’s last year on the ballot. What about Jeff Kent? Not a popular guy but his career is among the top of second basemen.


Jeff Kent = Barry Bonds school of medicine. HGH, specifically.

There’s nothing in his Wikipedia or online about Kent taking HGH. In fact, he and Bonds hated each other.
https://larrybrownsports.com/baseball/i ... roids/1215

https://nypost.com/2008/01/12/drawing-blood/

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Mon Nov 18, 2019 3:50 pm 
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MetsBlog pushing for Billy Wagner to be voted in:

Billy Wagner belongs in Hall of Fame, and has another shot on new ballot

https://www.sny.tv/mets/news/billy-wagn ... /311902984

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Mon Nov 18, 2019 3:58 pm 
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Linda wrote:
Bonds, Clemens and Sosa should never be allowed in. I only wish their stats could be expunged from the record books.

Going in: Jeter and Schilling.



As much as I'd like to see it, I'm not sure that Schilling is a guarantee. There's a lot of baggage with him, including the 38 Studios, which pissed a lot of people off. If it was only his baseball career, that would be a different matter, would make it easier for him.

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Mon Nov 18, 2019 4:03 pm 
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Marcus wrote:
Jason Gore wrote:
Marcus wrote:
Jeter. It’s Larry Walker’s last year on the ballot. What about Jeff Kent? Not a popular guy but his career is among the top of second basemen.


Jeff Kent = Barry Bonds school of medicine. HGH, specifically.

There’s nothing in his Wikipedia or online about Kent taking HGH. In fact, he and Bonds hated each other.
https://larrybrownsports.com/baseball/i ... roids/1215

https://nypost.com/2008/01/12/drawing-blood/

I'm at work, so can't post pictures, but if you check the attached link below, you can find Kent in a Blue Jays head shot and then every team after. IMO, you can see a thickening of his lower jawbone over time; you can also notice the 40 pounds of additional beef without much loss in muscle definition, which while not impossible from 23 to 30, is very uncommon. Also, if you compare his numbers in San Fran to his time with the Jays and Mets - in a much less power friendly stadium no less - and the numbers themselves raise red flags.

I could be wrong; maybe he didn't take anything. But the main reason I hate the caught cheaters is it makes the kind of late career renaissance that Kent had as a Giant so much more questionable. if a player was in that era, and changed his body over time the way Kent did, and put up the kind of numbers year over year he did, and then dropped almost all of the muscle mass early in retirement, then I'm going to have strong suspicions that you had pharmacological help to keep it on during your playing days. It may not fair, but that's my take.

It's the same reason I have doubts about Jeff Bagwell, who I remember as a relatively scrawny kid in Boston.

http://z.lee28.tripod.com/therest/id73.html

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Mon Nov 18, 2019 4:40 pm 
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Jason Gore wrote:
Marcus wrote:
Jason Gore wrote:
Marcus wrote:
Jeter. It’s Larry Walker’s last year on the ballot. What about Jeff Kent? Not a popular guy but his career is among the top of second basemen.


Jeff Kent = Barry Bonds school of medicine. HGH, specifically.

There’s nothing in his Wikipedia or online about Kent taking HGH. In fact, he and Bonds hated each other.
https://larrybrownsports.com/baseball/i ... roids/1215

https://nypost.com/2008/01/12/drawing-blood/

I'm at work, so can't post pictures, but if you check the attached link below, you can find Kent in a Blue Jays head shot and then every team after. IMO, you can see a thickening of his lower jawbone over time; you can also notice the 40 pounds of additional beef without much loss in muscle definition, which while not impossible from 23 to 30, is very uncommon. Also, if you compare his numbers in San Fran to his time with the Jays and Mets - in a much less power friendly stadium no less - and the numbers themselves raise red flags.

I could be wrong; maybe he didn't take anything. But the main reason I hate the caught cheaters is it makes the kind of late career renaissance that Kent had as a Giant so much more questionable. if a player was in that era, and changed his body over time the way Kent did, and put up the kind of numbers year over year he did, and then dropped almost all of the muscle mass early in retirement, then I'm going to have strong suspicions that you had pharmacological help to keep it on during your playing days. It may not fair, but that's my take.

It's the same reason I have doubts about Jeff Bagwell, who I remember as a relatively scrawny kid in Boston.

http://z.lee28.tripod.com/therest/id73.html

That’s fine. I’m just saying that there doesn’t seem to be much accusations in the media that I saw. Even NY media and they cast aspersions on Mike Piazza.

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Mon Nov 18, 2019 9:01 pm 
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123 hits is all omar vizquel needed to reach 3000, and he would already be in, now, i just don't know.

his only saving grace is that ozzie smith is in.

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Mon Nov 18, 2019 9:03 pm 
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Walter P wrote:
Linda wrote:
Bonds, Clemens and Sosa should never be allowed in. I only wish their stats could be expunged from the record books.

Going in: Jeter and Schilling.

As much as I'd like to see it, I'm not sure that Schilling is a guarantee. There's a lot of baggage with him, including the 38 Studios, which pissed a lot of people off. If it was only his baseball career, that would be a different matter, would make it easier for him.

schillings outspokenness about his politics doesn't really help him either.

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Tue Nov 19, 2019 4:26 pm 
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Linda wrote:
Bonds, Clemens and Sosa should never be allowed in. I only wish their stats could be expunged from the record books.

Going in: Jeter and Schilling.


Agree on both counts

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Tue Nov 19, 2019 5:00 pm 
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The Modern era ballot

Dwight Evans
Steve Garvey
Tommy John
Don Mattingly
Marvin Miller
Thurman Munson
Dale Murphy
Dave Parker
Ted Simmons
Lou Whitaker

I could make a case for four of them

Marvin Miller - though his leadership baseball was transformed forever. Like it or not the way it was set up was very wrong. He helped transform it. It is only greed that made it become what it is now. On the plus side baseball and baseball news is a 12 month sport.

Tommy John - 283 wins I believe and the operation that was named after him also transformed baseball. IMO he belongs.

Thurman Munson - Rookie of the Year, MVP, our captain. Him and Fisk were the two best catchers in the AL. He has the 10 years as required. Even if he didn't they let Addie Joss in there with only nine years.

Don Mattingly - Donnie Baseball - another of our captains. He never led us to the promise land but neither did Ernie Banks or Teddy Ballgame for their teams.
MVP (7 times in top 20 voting, 4 of those in top 10). 9 Gold Gloves, 3 Silver Sluggers, .307 lifetime BA. Led league BA 1 - RBI 1 - Hits 2 - Doubles 3 - TB - 2

Renny might not agree but it would be a great summer if 4 Yankees made the Hall of Fame - Jeter, Munson, Mattingly and John.
Imagine Jeter and Mattingly up there together?

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Tue Nov 19, 2019 9:21 pm 
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With the new analytics, I'd start with WAR and go from there. Rule of thumb, ~70 WAR gives serious consideration, >90 is no-brainer inductee (unless they were a cheater), <50 is no way in hell player should be considered. Obvious exceptions can be made for players like Thurman Munson who had their career tragically cut short and maybe some top notch relievers or extremely skilled defensive players.

bWAR (too lazy to look up fWAR at this time)

Lou Whitaker = 75.1
Dwight Evans = 67.1
Tommy John = 61.5
Ted Simmons = 50.3
Dale Murphy = 46.5
Thurman Munson = 46.1 (pro-rated to 72.8)*
Don Mattingly = 42.4
Dave Parker = 40.1
Steve Garvey = 38.1

* = Munson accumulated the 46.1 through roughly 9.5 seasons, 72.8 bWAR is pro-rated to 15 seasons worth which would have taken him through his age 37 season...however, the pro-rated portion credits him as a 4.85 bWAR player per season, and in his second-to-last season he was a 3.3 player and in his last season he was on pace to be a 3.6 bWAR player. So the 72.8 bWAR is likely a high estimate, it probably would be more realistic to put him at somewhere in the 56-60 bWAR area had he not been killed.

So to do the lazy, first-glance evaluation:

The writers blew it with Sweet Lou...he should have been voted in years ago.

Dwight Evans, Tommy John, Thurman Munson...would have to do more research.

Ted Simmons...probably not.

Dale Murphy, Don Mattingly, Dave Parker, Steve Garvey...no.


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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:12 pm 
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JosephC wrote:
With the new analytics, I'd start with WAR and go from there. Rule of thumb, ~70 WAR gives serious consideration, >90 is no-brainer inductee (unless they were a cheater), <50 is no way in hell player should be considered. Obvious exceptions can be made for players like Thurman Munson who had their career tragically cut short and maybe some top notch relievers or extremely skilled defensive players.

bWAR (too lazy to look up fWAR at this time)

Lou Whitaker = 75.1
Dwight Evans = 67.1
Tommy John = 61.5
Ted Simmons = 50.3
Dale Murphy = 46.5
Thurman Munson = 46.1 (pro-rated to 72.8)*
Don Mattingly = 42.4
Dave Parker = 40.1
Steve Garvey = 38.1

* = Munson accumulated the 46.1 through roughly 9.5 seasons, 72.8 bWAR is pro-rated to 15 seasons worth which would have taken him through his age 37 season...however, the pro-rated portion credits him as a 4.85 bWAR player per season, and in his second-to-last season he was a 3.3 player and in his last season he was on pace to be a 3.6 bWAR player. So the 72.8 bWAR is likely a high estimate, it probably would be more realistic to put him at somewhere in the 56-60 bWAR area had he not been killed.

So to do the lazy, first-glance evaluation:

The writers blew it with Sweet Lou...he should have been voted in years ago.

Dwight Evans, Tommy John, Thurman Munson...would have to do more research.

Ted Simmons...probably not.

Dale Murphy, Don Mattingly, Dave Parker, Steve Garvey...no.

I thought Lou and Alan Trammell should have gone in in the same year. It would have been fitting. And yep, I agree, none of these guys except Lou get in. While I appreciate the what might have been aspect of the two Yankees in question, I wonder how they'd be judged if they weren't part of the Yankees mythos.

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Wed Nov 20, 2019 10:51 pm 
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The Yankees have released Jacoby Ellsbury. DFA'ed 1B Greg Bird and RP Nelson Cortes, Jr. They are eating the last year of Ellsbury's contract. They have added their top 7 prospects to the 40 man roster ahead of the Rule 5 Draft.

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Thu Nov 21, 2019 2:28 pm 
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So who had Grandal going to the White Sox for 4 years at 73 million? Gives them quite the pair of catchers for next year.

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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 7:51 pm 
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Is this step one for the Yankees to sign Cole?
Quote:
NEW YORK (AP) — The Yankees plan to not pay Jacoby Ellsbury the remaining $26 million due under his contract, contending he violated the deal by getting unauthorized medical treatment.

New York general manager sent a letter to Ellsbury and his agent, Scott Boras, informing them the team converted his contract to a nonguaranteed deal, a person familiar with the decision told The Associated Press on Friday. The person spoke on condition of anonymity because the team had not made any public statements.

Ellsbury has not played since 2017 and was released by the Yankees on Wednesday.

According to the person who spoke with the AP, the Yankees said he was treated by Dr. Viktor Bouquette of Progressive Medical Center in Atlanta without the team’s permission.

Ellsbury is owed more than $26.2 million as part of his $153 million, seven-year contract: more than $21.1 million for the final guaranteed season plus a $5 million buyout of a $21 million team option for 2021. If Ellsbury is not paid, nearly $21.9 million would come off the Yankees’ luxury-tax payroll next year.


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 Post subject: Baseball Chatter 2020
PostPosted: Fri Nov 22, 2019 7:59 pm 
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TS Garp wrote:
Is this step one for the Yankees to sign Cole?
Quote:
NEW YORK (AP) — The Yankees plan to not pay Jacoby Ellsbury the remaining $26 million due under his contract, contending he violated the deal by getting unauthorized medical treatment.

New York general manager sent a letter to Ellsbury and his agent, Scott Boras, informing them the team converted his contract to a nonguaranteed deal, a person familiar with the decision told The Associated Press on Friday. The person spoke on condition of anonymity because the team had not made any public statements.

Ellsbury has not played since 2017 and was released by the Yankees on Wednesday.

According to the person who spoke with the AP, the Yankees said he was treated by Dr. Viktor Bouquette of Progressive Medical Center in Atlanta without the team’s permission.

Ellsbury is owed more than $26.2 million as part of his $153 million, seven-year contract: more than $21.1 million for the final guaranteed season plus a $5 million buyout of a $21 million team option for 2021. If Ellsbury is not paid, nearly $21.9 million would come off the Yankees’ luxury-tax payroll next year.


I think Cole is going to the Coast- either The Dodgers or the Angels. I think it would take a lot more than The Yankees are willing to pay to get him here.
I wouldn't at all mind if they settled for Wheeler.

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